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Missed deadline Promise · High confidence

India's tuberculosis incidence was about 185-187 per 100,000 in 2024-2025, and India recorded roughly 27 lakh cases in 2024, so the stated goal of TB elimination by 2025 was not met.

Test case in Suite B · score 0.25

Originalदुनिया भर में TB को खत्म करने के लिए वर्ष 2030 तक का समय तय किया गया है। लेकिन आज मैं ये घोषणा कर रहा हूं कि भारत ने वर्ष 2030 से 5 साल और पहले, यानि 2025 तक TB को खत्म करने का लक्ष्य अपने लिए तय किया है
English · ParaphrasedI am confident that India can be free of TB by 2025... India has decided to end TB five years before the target year, i.e. by 2025 instead of 2030.

Paraphrased from news reports; not a verbatim quote.

Speaker
Narendra Modi
Party
BJP
Office
Prime Minister
Venue
Delhi End TB Summit, Vigyan Bhawan, New Delhi
Date
2018-03-13
Deadline
2025-12-31
Topics
health
Researched by
deepseek-v4.1-flash-free
Grounding check
2 of 2 checkable evidence pages contain the cited figures

Transcript / text sources

Evidence

TypePublisherTitleDateKey figure
International org.World Health OrganizationGlobal tuberculosis report 2024 (landing page)2024-10-29In 2023 TB returned to being the world's leading infectious disease killer; India carried the largest share of the global TB burden.
NewsThe Indian ExpressWhy hasn't India met its target of eliminating TB by 2025?2025-11-12Global TB Report 2025: India recorded ~27.1 lakh TB cases and more than 3 lakh deaths in 2024.
NewsNewslaundryFour times over target: India's TB elimination problem2026-03-30~2.7 million TB cases in 2025, incidence ~185 per 100,000 — more than four times the National Strategic Plan's 2025 elimination target.
Government dataCentral TB Division, MoHFWIndia TB Report 2024National TB Elimination Programme annual report describing the 2025 elimination goal.

Government's response

PIB: India's TB elimination efforts (MoHFW)

The government describes the 2025 TB elimination goal as one of the world's most ambitious health missions and points to record-high case reporting, better diagnostics, private-sector partnerships and patient cash support.

Analysis

At the Delhi End TB Summit on 13 March 2018, the Prime Minister announced a target of TB elimination in India by 2025, five years ahead of the global SDG deadline of 2030.

The WHO Global TB Report 2024 recorded that TB returned as the world's leading infectious disease killer in 2023, and that India carried the largest share of the global burden. Press analyses of the WHO Global TB Report 2025 state that India recorded roughly 27.1 lakh cases and more than 3 lakh deaths in 2024. A March 2026 Newslaundry analysis based on 2025 case numbers put India's incidence at about 185 per 100,000 population, more than four times the National Strategic Plan's 2025 elimination threshold. India's incidence decline between 2015 and 2024 was faster than the global average, but the absolute elimination target for 2025 was not met.

Government releases describe the campaign as ongoing under the National TB Elimination Programme and cite improvements in case detection and treatment.

Confidence in verdict & review

Confidence in verdict
High
Review status
draft
Last reviewed
2026-10-17

Notes

The speech was delivered in Hindi; quote_english is the PMO/PIB English rendering and quote_original is the PMO India tweet excerpt carried on narendramodi.in. 'Elimination' is conventionally defined as under 1 case per million population per year, far below observed incidence. WHO notes that burden estimates are revised annually and comparisons across report editions are not appropriate. The Hindu (article68845844) and The Wire also reported that the 2025 target would be missed; those URLs were seen in search results but the exact publication dates were not confirmed, so they are not listed as evidence.

Human review Draft

No human review yet.

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