Suite B: Promise Delivery
Test cases: claims of type promise. Score by verdict: true = 1, in-progress = 0.5, missed-deadline = 0.25, misleading = 0.25, unachieved = 0, false = 0. Unverifiable is not graded.
| Party | Suite B |
|---|---|
| BJP (May 2014 → today) | 0.440CI [0.32, 0.57] · n=29on-time rate 0.241 · abstained 2 · not yet due 9 |
| Congress (2000 → May 2014) | 0.450CI [0.32, 0.59] · n=35on-time rate 0.343 · abstained 0 · not yet due 0 |
| Test case | Date | Party | Speaker | Domain | Verdict | Score | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bjp-yogi-2026-up-20gw-renewable | 2026-06-27 | BJP | Yogi Adityanath | Infrastructure & Energy | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-yogi-2026-up-1-trillion-economy | 2026-05-11 | BJP | Yogi Adityanath | Economy & Jobs | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-himanta-2025-assam-143-billion-economy | 2025-02-25 | BJP | Himanta Biswa Sarma | Economy & Jobs | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-vaishnaw-2025-railways-100pc-electrification | 2025-02-24 | BJP | Ashwini Vaishnaw | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| shah-2024-naxalism-end-by-march-2026 | 2024-12-16 | BJP | Amit Shah | Security & Internal Affairs | In progress | 0.50 | low |
| bjp-bhajanlal-2024-rajasthan-125gw-renewable | 2024-12-05 | BJP | Bhajan Lal Sharma | Infrastructure & Energy | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-shah-2024-jk-statehood-restoration | 2024-09-07 | BJP | Amit Shah | Democracy & Governance | Unachieved | 0.00 | high |
| bjp-sitharaman-2024-pmay-urban-2 | 2024-07-23 | BJP | Nirmala Sitharaman | Welfare, Health & Education | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-bhajanlal-2024-rajasthan-pm-kisan-topup | 2024-06-08 | BJP | Bhajan Lal Sharma | Agriculture & Rural | True | 1.00 | high |
| bjp-shah-2024-one-nation-one-election | 2024-05-26 | BJP | Amit Shah | Democracy & Governance | In progress | not yet due | high |
| bjp-vaishnaw-2024-top-5-semiconductor-manufacturing | 2024-03-28 | BJP | Ashwini Vaishnaw | Economy & Jobs | In progress | not yet due | low |
| bjp-shah-2024-caa-implemented-before-polls | 2024-02-10 | BJP | Amit Shah | Security & Internal Affairs | True | 1.00 | high |
| bjp-shah-2024-indo-myanmar-border-fence | 2024-02-06 | BJP | Amit Shah | Security & Internal Affairs | In progress | 0.50 | high |
| bjp-modi-2023-lakhpati-didi | 2023-08-15 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Welfare, Health & Education | True | 1.00 | medium |
| bjp-goyal-2023-2-trillion-exports-by-2030 | 2023-03-31 | BJP | Piyush Goyal | Economy & Jobs | In progress | not yet due | medium |
| bjp-chouhan-2023-ladli-behna-3000 | 2023-03-01 | BJP | Shivraj Singh Chouhan | Welfare, Health & Education | In progress | 0.50 | medium |
| bjp-dhami-2022-ucc-uttarakhand | 2022-02-12 | BJP | Pushkar Singh Dhami | Democracy & Governance | True | 1.00 | high |
| bjp-modi-2021-500gw-nonfossil-2030 | 2021-11-01 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | In progress | not yet due | high |
| bjp-modi-2021-ethanol-20-percent-2025 | 2021-06-05 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | True | 1.00 | high |
| bjp-sitharaman-2020-agri-infrastructure-fund | 2020-05-15 | BJP | Nirmala Sitharaman | Agriculture & Rural | In progress | 0.50 | high |
| bjp-modi-2019-jal-jeevan-mission-2024 | 2019-08-15 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| shah-2019-article-370-end-terrorism | 2019-08-11 | BJP | Amit Shah | Security & Internal Affairs | In progress | 0.50 | medium |
| modi-2019-5-trillion-economy-2024-25 | 2019-06-15 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Economy & Jobs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| shah-2019-nationwide-nrc-chronology | 2019-04-23 | BJP | Amit Shah | Security & Internal Affairs | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| modi-2018-all-villages-electrified | 2018-04-28 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | True | 1.00 | medium |
| bjp-modi-2018-tb-elimination-2025 | 2018-03-13 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Welfare, Health & Education | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| bjp-jaitley-2018-msp-1-5-times-cost | 2018-02-01 | BJP | Arun Jaitley | Agriculture & Rural | Misleading | 0.25 | high |
| modi-2017-bullet-train-by-2022 | 2017-09-14 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| bjp-rajnath-2017-solution-security-2022 | 2017-08-18 | BJP | Rajnath Singh | Security & Internal Affairs | Unachieved | 0.00 | high |
| modi-2017-housing-for-all-by-2022 | 2017-08-15 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Welfare, Health & Education | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| modi-2017-hawai-chappal-udan | 2017-04-27 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Misleading | 0.25 | low |
| bjp-yogi-2017-farm-loan-waiver | 2017-04-04 | BJP | Yogi Adityanath | Agriculture & Rural | Misleading | 0.25 | medium |
| modi-2016-demonetisation-black-money-fake-currency | 2016-11-08 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Economy & Jobs | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| modi-2016-ujjwala-lpg-connections | 2016-05-01 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | True | 1.00 | low |
| modi-2016-double-farmers-income | 2016-02-28 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Agriculture & Rural | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| modi-2016-make-in-india-25-percent-manufacturing | 2016-02-13 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Economy & Jobs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| modi-2015-24x7-power-for-all-by-2022 | 2015-09-04 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Unverifiable | n/a | low |
| modi-2015-100-smart-cities | 2015-06-25 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | low |
| modi-2015-175gw-renewable-by-2022 | 2015-01-01 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| modi-2013-2-crore-jobs-a-year | 2013-11-21 | BJP | Narendra Modi | Economy & Jobs | Unverifiable | n/a | medium |
| inc-kiran-kumar-reddy-2013-united-ap | 2013-11-15 | INC | N. Kiran Kumar Reddy | Democracy & Governance | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| inc-sibal-2013-panchayat-broadband | 2013-08-30 | INC | Kapil Sibal | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| inc-siddaramaiah-2013-anna-bhagya | 2013-07-10 | INC | Siddaramaiah | Welfare, Health & Education | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-dikshit-2013-cctv-buses | 2013-01-01 | INC | Sheila Dikshit | Security & Internal Affairs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-sibal-2012-ger-30-percent-2020 | 2012-10-23 | INC | Kapil Sibal | Welfare, Health & Education | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-ramesh-2012-nirmal-bharat-open-defecation-free | 2012-09-28 | INC | Jairam Ramesh | Welfare, Health & Education | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| inc-chidambaram-2012-nctc-operational | 2012-03-01 | INC | P. Chidambaram | Security & Internal Affairs | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| inc-mukherjee-2011-black-money-white-paper | 2011-12-14 | INC | Pranab Mukherjee | Economy & Jobs | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-gehlot-2011-free-medicine-scheme | 2011-10-02 | INC | Ashok Gehlot | Welfare, Health & Education | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-chidambaram-2010-overcome-maoism-3-years | 2010-07-29 | INC | P. Chidambaram | Security & Internal Affairs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| inc-singh-2010-inflation-5-6-december | 2010-05-24 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Economy & Jobs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-manmohan-2010-solar-20gw | 2010-01-11 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Infrastructure & Energy | True | 1.00 | medium |
| inc-kamalnath-2010-20km-highways | 2010-01-10 | INC | Kamal Nath | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-sibal-2009-secondary-education-right-by-2015 | 2009-12-04 | INC | Kapil Sibal | Welfare, Health & Education | Unachieved | 0.00 | low |
| inc-jairam-2009-emissions-intensity | 2009-12-03 | INC | Jairam Ramesh | Infrastructure & Energy | True | 1.00 | medium |
| inc-chidambaram-2009-cctns-2012 | 2009-09-18 | INC | P. Chidambaram | Security & Internal Affairs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-manmohan-2009-rajiv-awas-yojana-five-years | 2009-08-15 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Welfare, Health & Education | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| inc-gandhi-2009-right-to-food | 2009-03-24 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Agriculture & Rural | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-gandhi-2009-women-reservation | 2009-03-24 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Democracy & Governance | Unachieved | 0.00 | high |
| inc-sonia-gandhi-2009-lokpal | 2009-03-01 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Democracy & Governance | In progress | 0.50 | medium |
| inc-sheila-dikshit-2008-unauthorised-colonies | 2008-11-01 | INC | Sheila Dikshit | Democracy & Governance | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| inc-chidambaram-2008-farm-loan-waiver | 2008-02-29 | INC | P. Chidambaram | Agriculture & Rural | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-singh-2007-eleventh-plan-9-percent | 2007-12-19 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Economy & Jobs | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-dikshit-2006-delhi-power-surplus-2012 | 2006-12-09 | INC | Sheila Dikshit | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| inc-singh-2005-bharat-nirman-irrigation | 2005-08-15 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Agriculture & Rural | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-manmohan-2005-nrhm-imr-target-30 | 2005-04-12 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Welfare, Health & Education | Missed deadline | 0.25 | medium |
| inc-manmohan-2005-village-electrification-2009 | 2005-04-04 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Infrastructure & Energy | Missed deadline | 0.25 | high |
| inc-chidambaram-2004-nrega-100-days | 2004-07-08 | INC | P. Chidambaram | Economy & Jobs | True | 1.00 | high |
| inc-reddy-2004-jalayagnam | 2004-06-01 | INC | Y. S. Rajasekhara Reddy | Agriculture & Rural | Unachieved | 0.00 | high |
| inc-singh-2004-cmp-growth-7-8 | 2004-05-27 | INC | Manmohan Singh | Economy & Jobs | True | 1.00 | medium |
| inc-reddy-2004-free-power-farmers | 2004-05-14 | INC | Y. S. Rajasekhara Reddy | Agriculture & Rural | True | 1.00 | medium |
| inc-ysr-2004-jalayagnam-irrigation | 2004-05-01 | INC | Y. S. Rajasekhara Reddy | Infrastructure & Energy | Unachieved | 0.00 | medium |
| inc-gandhi-2004-one-crore-jobs | 2004-03-22 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Economy & Jobs | Unachieved | 0.00 | high |
| inc-gandhi-2004-repeal-pota | 2004-03-01 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Security & Internal Affairs | True | 1.00 | medium |
| inc-gandhi-2004-rti-act | 2004-03-01 | INC | Sonia Gandhi | Democracy & Governance | True | 1.00 | high |
n/a = not graded in this suite (abstained). 75 cases listed, 64 graded.
Gap closed (promises with a numeric target)
gap = (value − baseline) / (target − baseline), clamped to [0, 1]. Baseline: series point at or before the claim date, else the first point. "At deadline": last point at or before the deadline. "Latest": most recent point.
| Test case | Target | Baseline | At deadline | Latest | Caveats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| modi-2019-5-trillion-economy-2024-25 | 5 US$ trillion (current prices) | 2.703 2018-19 | 0.461 3.761 @ 2024-25 | 0.545 3.956 @ 2025-26 | |
| modi-2017-housing-for-all-by-2022 | 29,500,000 houses (number) | 0 2016-17 | 0.712 21,000,000 @ 2022-12-08 | 1.000 31,200,000 @ 2026-08-03 | caveat Baseline set explicitly: 0 (2016-17). |
| modi-2016-double-farmers-income | 16,118 Rs per month (nominal) | 6,426 2012-13 | 0.391 10,218 @ 2018-19 | 0.391 10,218 @ 2018-19 | caveat Series is nominal; target is stated in constant prices. Units are not comparable. |
| modi-2016-make-in-india-25-percent-manufacturing | 25 % of GDP | 15.07 2014-15 | 0.000 14.38 @ 2021-22 | 0.000 13.47 @ 2025-26 | |
| modi-2015-175gw-renewable-by-2022 | 175 GW (cumulative, end of fiscal year unless noted) | 35.85 Mar 2014 | 0.611 120.9 @ Dec 2022 | 0.981 172.37 @ Mar 2025 |