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True Promise · Medium confidence

Real GDP growth averaged about 7.6% a year over the UPA decade (2004-05 to 2013-14), within the 7-8% range set out in the Common Minimum Programme.

Test case in Suite B · score 1.00

English · Paraphrasedto ensure that the economy grows at least 7-8% per year in a sustained manner over a decade and more and in a manner that generates employment so that each family is assured of a safe and viable livelihood

Paraphrased from news reports; not a verbatim quote.

Speaker
Manmohan Singh
Party
INC
Office
Prime Minister
Venue
Release of the UPA National Common Minimum Programme, New Delhi
Date
2004-05-27
Deadline
2014-05-31
Topics
economy, jobs
Researched by
deepseek-v4.1-flash-free
Grounding check
no evidence page could be checked automatically (PDF or blocked)

Transcript / text sources

Evidence

TypePublisherTitleDateKey figure
NewsEconomic and Political Weekly (Ghatak, 'Growth in the Time of UPA')Key indicators during NDA and UPA years2014-01-01Average annual real GDP growth: NDA (1998-2004) 5.9%; UPA-I (2004-09) 8.0%; UPA-II (2009-13) 7.0%; UPA (2004-13) 7.6%
Government dataMoSPIStatistical Year Book India, Chapter 7: Five Year Plans2013-01-01Eleventh Plan (2007-2012) average annual GDP growth achieved 8%; Tenth Plan 7.6%

Analysis

The UPA's Common Minimum Programme, adopted in May 2004, listed as its first economic objective ensuring that the economy grows at least 7-8% per year in a sustained manner over a decade and more, with employment generation.

Independent compilations of official data put average real GDP growth for 2004-05 to 2013-14 at about 7.6% (UPA-I 8.0%, UPA-II 7.0%). That falls inside the 7-8% band the CMP set, although annual growth was uneven, ranging from about 9% in some years to under 5% in 2012-13 and 2013-14.

The promise is measured on the stated metric (average growth over the period), not on the employment condition attached to it; employment growth over the period was a separate and more contested question.

Confidence in verdict & review

Confidence in verdict
Medium
Review status
draft
Last reviewed
2026-10-17

Notes

The CMP is a UPA document; it is attributed here to the Prime Minister who led the UPA government. Growth figures are at factor cost on the 2004-05 series; the EPW table was consulted via search-result text, not the full PDF. No unverified YouTube video was cited.

Human review Draft

No human review yet.

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